Nürnberg vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
18.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21%
2-0
19%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.7%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
7.9%
1.4%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
OFC
2 - 0
FCN
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
WER
0 - 3
FCN
24%
20%
56%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 2
FCN
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1976 |
FCN
0 - 1
BVB
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
FCN
0 - 0
SAA
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
WUR
1 - 2
BAY
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |