Nürnberg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ROS
1 - 2
FCN
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FCN
0 - 2
KSC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
VHG
0 - 6
FCN
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 16 | 66 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2007 |
FCN
2 - 4
S04
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
STU
2 - 3
FCN
57%
25%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 4
BYM
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
DZG
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
RTV
2 - 2
BRE
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
EBT
0 - 1
BRE
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 4
BYM
49%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |