Nürnberg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
EIN
1 - 4
FCN
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
ROT
1 - 1
FCN
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
FCN
1 - 0
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
KSC
0 - 1
FCN
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
KOL
2 - 0
FCN
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
BRE
0 - 0
ROT
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
MON
1 - 1
BRE
45%
23%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
BRE
0 - 3
KSC
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
HAN
2 - 1
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
BRE
1 - 0
F95
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |