Nürnberg vs Waldhof Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 1
FCN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
FCN
1 - 1
MUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
RVO
0 - 2
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
FCN
2 - 1
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
STU
4 - 0
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Waldhof Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
WAL
3 - 2
FSV
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
SVS
2 - 1
WAL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
WAL
3 - 1
EIN
85%
12%
4%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
SSV
4 - 2
WAL
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
WAL
2 - 2
BAU
88%
10%
3%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |