Nürnberg vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1943 |
MSB
1 - 5
FCN
20%
21%
59%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1943 |
SCH
2 - 4
FCN
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1941 |
SVS
4 - 1
FCN
39%
23%
39%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1941 |
FCN
4 - 1
SGF
86%
9%
5%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
DRE
2 - 1
FCN
25%
22%
53%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1943 |
VIE
6 - 5
BSV
92%
6%
3%
|
79 | 28 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1943 |
WIE
5 - 4
VIE
41%
21%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1943 |
SAS
1 - 7
VIE
17%
18%
66%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1943 |
NSB
0 - 14
VIE
14%
17%
69%
|
80 | 8 | 72 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1943 |
SWW
2 - 2
VIE
42%
21%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |