Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
FCN
3 - 3
OFC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
FCN
3 - 2
WAL
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 1
FCN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
FCN
1 - 1
MUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
RVO
0 - 2
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1976 |
OSN
2 - 0
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 1
OSN
28%
26%
47%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
OSN
3 - 1
BVB
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
WOL
0 - 0
OSN
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
OSN
1 - 2
ARB
70%
18%
13%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |