Nürnberg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
OSN
2 - 1
FCN
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
FCN
0 - 1
SAA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCN
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
FCN
0 - 1
SGF
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2001 |
MON
1 - 1
FCN
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
ULM
1 - 4
STP
47%
24%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
AAA
1 - 0
ULM
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
ULM
0 - 2
M05
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
ROT
3 - 1
ULM
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
HAN
2 - 0
ULM
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |