Nürnberg vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
NEU
2 - 1
FCN
34%
22%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
FCN
1 - 1
EBT
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1965 |
EIN
1 - 2
FCN
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
FCN
1 - 4
MUN
54%
21%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCN
44%
23%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 2
BYM
29%
19%
52%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
HSV
5 - 1
TAS
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 2
BVB
26%
21%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
MON
5 - 0
TAS
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1965 |
TAS
2 - 0
KSC
50%
21%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |