Nürnberg vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
FCN
3 - 3
HAN
49%
23%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
S04
2 - 0
FCN
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
FCN
0 - 1
STU
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
BYM
2 - 1
FCN
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
FCN
2 - 4
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1985 |
WAL
5 - 3
STU
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
STU
5 - 0
F95
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
FCN
0 - 1
STU
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
STU
5 - 0
KOL
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
HSV
2 - 0
STU
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |