Nürnberg vs Schweinfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
DAR
2 - 0
FCN
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
FCN
0 - 2
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1976 |
HOM
1 - 0
FCN
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
FCN
2 - 2
RVO
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
SVS
1 - 1
FCN
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Schweinfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
SCH
2 - 2
EBK
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
REU
0 - 2
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1976 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAY
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
SCH
2 - 1
DAR
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |