Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
14º
14º
4
1º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 2
FCN
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 0
JUV
13%
23%
65%
|
72 | 96 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BBU
1 - 2
FCN
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCN
32%
23%
45%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
S04
5 - 1
EBT
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
S04
0 - 2
UTR
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
S04
26%
21%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DYN
2 - 2
S04
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |