Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
STU
0 - 2
FCN
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
FCN
0 - 3
HER
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
KAI
5 - 0
FCN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 1
WOL
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BYM
2 - 0
FCN
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
S04
1 - 1
MUN
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
HSV
3 - 1
S04
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
S04
1 - 1
ARB
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
MON
2 - 2
S04
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
S04
2 - 2
BVB
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |