Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCN
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
FCN
1 - 2
KOL
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
EIN
3 - 1
FCN
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
FCN
3 - 0
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
FCN
2 - 2
HSV
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
S04
3 - 0
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
WAL
2 - 0
S04
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
S04
1 - 4
BYM
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
BVB
4 - 1
S04
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
S04
2 - 2
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |