Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1969 |
FCN
3 - 0
MUN
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1969 |
KAI
1 - 1
FCN
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
FCN
1 - 2
HAN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
MON
1 - 1
FCN
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
FCN
2 - 2
OFC
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
S04
3 - 1
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1969 |
S04
3 - 1
ALS
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1969 |
S04
2 - 1
BRE
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
BYM
0 - 0
S04
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
S04
1 - 1
STU
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |