Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
MUN
5 - 0
FCN
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
FCN
2 - 4
KSC
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
SAA
3 - 5
FCN
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
FCN
2 - 2
PRE
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
EIN
2 - 3
FCN
42%
24%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
S04
2 - 2
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
EBT
4 - 3
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
S04
1 - 0
HSV
26%
22%
52%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
KOL
2 - 2
S04
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
S04
3 - 1
BVB
57%
22%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |