Nürnberg vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
PRE
0 - 1
FCN
15%
21%
65%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1964 |
FCN
1 - 0
EIN
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 1
FCN
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
FCN
2 - 3
HER
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
FCN
3 - 2
HSV
43%
20%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
SAA
1 - 1
HSV
11%
16%
74%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1964 |
EBT
3 - 1
SAA
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
KOL
1 - 3
SAA
79%
12%
9%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +4 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
S04
4 - 1
SAA
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
SAA
0 - 4
EIN
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |