Nürnberg vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 0
M05
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FCN
1 - 0
WEH
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AAA
6 - 2
FCN
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2009 |
FCN
3 - 0
KAI
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 0
WEH
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 0
RWA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 3
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 1
RWA
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
AUG
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |