Nürnberg vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
FCN
3 - 1
EBT
62%
21%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
MON
1 - 1
FCN
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1968 |
FCN
0 - 2
EIN
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
LEV
0 - 2
FCN
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
HSV
3 - 1
FCN
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
PRE
1 - 1
LEV
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
PRE
1 - 0
WUP
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
WHE
0 - 1
PRE
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
PRE
2 - 1
AAA
26%
23%
52%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
PRE
0 - 1
ROT
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |