Nürnberg vs Neunkirchen analysis


87	ELO	77
8.7%	Tilt	13.6%
985º	General ELO ranking	19783º
38º	Country ELO ranking	1146º
ELO win probability

79.7%

Nürnberg

11.8%

Draw

8.5%

Neunkirchen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

79.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%

11.8%

Draw

0-0

1.4%

1-1

4.7%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

11.8%

8.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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