Nürnberg vs ASV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1978 |
ROT
2 - 2
FCN
58%
19%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1978 |
FCN
1 - 0
ROT
51%
20%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
BAY
4 - 0
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
FCN
1 - 3
WAL
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
WWO
2 - 2
FCN
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
F95
6 - 0
NEU
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 81 | 60 | 0 |