Nürnberg vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SVS
0 - 2
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
FCN
2 - 0
REU
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
WAL
1 - 4
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
HAL
0 - 5
FCN
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
FCN
2 - 0
RWA
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
MSV
4 - 1
STP
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2000 |
AAA
1 - 0
MSV
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
MSV
0 - 0
M05
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
FCT
0 - 3
MSV
7%
16%
78%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 0
MSV
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |