Nürnberg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
FCN
3 - 1
CHE
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
SGF
0 - 0
FCN
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2000 |
FCN
2 - 1
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2000 |
ARB
1 - 2
FCN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
FCN
3 - 1
MSV
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
M05
0 - 3
ULM
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
OSN
2 - 1
M05
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
M05
1 - 0
SAA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CHE
0 - 2
M05
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
M05
1 - 0
SGF
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |