Nürnberg vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1996 |
HAN
2 - 2
FCN
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
FCN
0 - 1
RTV
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCN
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
FCN
1 - 2
M05
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
ARB
2 - 2
FCN
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
LUB
0 - 1
HER
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
MEP
2 - 0
LUB
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
LUB
3 - 1
ZWI
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
LUB
2 - 1
MSV
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
LOK
2 - 1
LUB
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |