Nürnberg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
M05
2 - 0
FCN
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
FCN
2 - 2
AUG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1974 |
MUN
3 - 2
FCN
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 0
WAL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
RVO
1 - 1
FCN
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
HOM
4 - 0
SCH
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
KSC
4 - 2
HOM
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
BAY
3 - 0
HOM
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
HOM
2 - 1
SVS
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
SGF
2 - 0
HOM
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |