Nürnberg vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
QUF
0 - 1
FCN
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
FCN
4 - 0
WAC
74%
17%
8%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
DIT
0 - 2
FCN
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
FCN
5 - 0
KSC
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
DAR
2 - 3
FCN
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
SGF
4 - 0
HES
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
HES
1 - 1
QUF
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1996 |
SCW
3 - 2
HES
55%
22%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
WAC
2 - 0
HES
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
HES
2 - 0
LUD
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |