Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
14º
11º
25
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
FCN
6 - 0
ERZ
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
0 - 4
MAG
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 1
FCN
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
F95
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 4
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
SSV
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 5
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |