Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
14º
14º
10
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
11 | 65 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 65 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 58 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 48 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 42 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 37 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 29 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 28 |
18º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 15.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
FCN
6 - 0
ERZ
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
0 - 4
MAG
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 1
FCN
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
F95
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 4
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
SSV
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 5
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |