Nürnberg vs Hansa Rostock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 1
HER
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STP
5 - 1
FCN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 0
MAG
29%
25%
47%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EBT
2 - 2
FCN
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WEH
1 - 0
ROS
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 3
HOL
22%
24%
55%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 0
NAE
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SGF
1 - 0
ROS
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 0
EBT
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |