DFB Pokal 1/64
Global 4-1
Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
FCN
0 - 4
KAI
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
FCN
5 - 0
KSC
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
MSV
2 - 0
FCN
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
FCN
0 - 2
RTV
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCN
28%
22%
50%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
HOM
2 - 0
SGF
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
SGF
2 - 0
SAA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1980 |
WAL
2 - 1
SGF
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCN
28%
22%
50%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
BAY
3 - 1
SGF
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |