Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
HEI
0 - 3
FCN
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 2
FWM
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 1
SVS
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
3 - 1
FCN
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
FCN
3 - 0
WWO
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
SGF
0 - 1
SCH
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
TSV
0 - 5
SGF
16%
24%
61%
|
58 | 14 | 44 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
KSC
1 - 0
SGF
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SGF
1 - 3
DAR
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
WAL
2 - 0
SGF
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |