Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
DRE
2 - 1
FCN
25%
22%
53%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
F95
0 - 1
FCN
26%
22%
52%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
FCN
2 - 1
SWE
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
FCU
0 - 1
FCN
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
FCN
3 - 2
OFC
74%
15%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
RAP
6 - 1
SGF
93%
5%
2%
|
32 | 79 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SGF
2 - 1
S04
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
TLE
1 - 2
SGF
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
BER
1 - 0
SGF
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
SGF
7 - 1
BSV
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |