Nürnberg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FCN
2 - 2
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
RVO
4 - 2
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
FCN
5 - 0
SVS
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
SGF
2 - 3
FCN
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
FCN
2 - 1
BAY
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 0
KÖL
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 4
WUP
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
TEN
3 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WAB
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
OSN
1 - 0
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |