Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
BRE
3 - 1
FCN
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
FCN
1 - 1
DAR
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
FCN
2 - 0
HSV
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
LEV
4 - 0
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1982 |
FCN
0 - 3
BYM
26%
25%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
F95
0 - 0
BVB
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
KAI
1 - 1
F95
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
F95
1 - 1
EBT
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
KSC
1 - 0
F95
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
RTV
3 - 0
F95
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |