Champions League Last 16
Global 3-1
Nürnberg vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
FCN
0 - 3
EIN
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
TSA
1 - 0
FCN
27%
25%
49%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
FCN
3 - 2
BAY
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
FSV
3 - 0
FCN
26%
25%
50%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FCN
5 - 0
AUG
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
BJK
1 - 0
FEN
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
BEY
0 - 0
FEN
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
FEN
3 - 0
ALT
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
FEN
2 - 2
IZM
75%
15%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1961 |
FEN
1 - 2
FCN
79%
13%
9%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |