Nürnberg vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
FCN
9 - 0
PRI
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
F95
0 - 1
FCN
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 2
PAD
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
FCN
5 - 1
HAL
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
FCN
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ING
0 - 2
DAR
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 1
ING
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
ING
3 - 1
WUR
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ING
3 - 0
SGD
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ING
1 - 2
HAN
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |