Nürnberg vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCN
1 - 1
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
FCN
1 - 2
ING
81%
15%
5%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
FCN
2 - 1
TER
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
S04
4 - 1
FCN
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FCN
0 - 2
HAN
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MOS
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 1
STU
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 2
PAD
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
F95
4 - 0
ERZ
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |