Nürnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
14º
12º
15
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 1
FCN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ELV
2 - 1
FCN
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 2
F95
25%
23%
53%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 2
FCN
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCN
0 - 0
KAI
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Braunschweig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
EBT
0 - 3
ELV
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
F95
5 - 0
EBT
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EBT
0 - 0
SSV
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 2
EBT
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 1
STP
18%
21%
62%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |