Nürnberg vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
STU
0 - 0
FCN
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 2
HAN
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCN
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
FCN
1 - 2
S04
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SGD
0 - 3
FCN
18%
23%
60%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
M05
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 0
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
HER
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
RTV
3 - 3
MON
52%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
FSV
1 - 2
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |