Nürnberg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
M05
3 - 0
FCN
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 3
KAI
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCN
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCN
3 - 1
KOL
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 3
FCN
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
BVB
3 - 0
KPT
65%
22%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BVB
4 - 1
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 2
BVB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BVB
2 - 0
HSV
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HAN
0 - 4
BVB
26%
24%
51%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |