Nürnberg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 2
FCN
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
EIN
2 - 2
FCN
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 1
ARB
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 1
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
FCN
28%
25%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
BVB
0 - 1
HAN
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 1
RTV
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
COT
2 - 3
BVB
26%
26%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
BVB
2 - 2
HAN
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
MON
1 - 0
BVB
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |