Nürnberg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1968 |
BYM
0 - 2
FCN
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
FCN
2 - 1
HAN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
AAA
2 - 0
FCN
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
FCN
4 - 1
MSV
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
BYM
2 - 1
FCN
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1968 |
BVB
4 - 0
KAI
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 1
BVB
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1968 |
KOL
3 - 0
BVB
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
BVB
2 - 1
STU
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
S04
1 - 0
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |