Nürnberg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 2
VCF
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
HSV
0 - 1
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 2
KAI
65%
19%
17%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 1
MSV
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
BVB
0 - 0
ROT
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
MON
4 - 0
BVB
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
BVB
2 - 1
KSC
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
HAN
2 - 0
BVB
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
BVB
1 - 2
F95
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | -1 |