Nürnberg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
MON
8 - 3
FCN
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 0
KSC
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 1
FCN
18%
20%
62%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
FCN
2 - 1
EIN
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 1
NEU
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
BVB
3 - 0
BYM
61%
18%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
HSV
1 - 1
BVB
52%
22%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BVB
1 - 0
ATM
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
BVB
7 - 0
S04
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
ATM
1 - 1
BVB
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |