Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCN
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
FCN
1 - 2
M05
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
ARB
2 - 2
FCN
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
FCN
1 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
CZJ
1 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
RTV
2 - 2
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
MEP
2 - 3
RTV
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1996 |
RTV
3 - 0
ZWI
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
LOK
0 - 1
RTV
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
RTV
3 - 1
LUB
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |