Nürnberg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
86.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 0
FCN
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
FCN
1 - 1
S04
19%
23%
59%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
STU
1 - 1
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCN
3 - 0
AUG
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
FCN
5 - 1
MBO
31%
24%
46%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 3
BYM
12%
18%
70%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BYM
1 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
F95
1 - 4
BYM
4%
11%
85%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BYM
5 - 0
BVB
65%
19%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BYM
5 - 4
HEI
85%
11%
4%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |