Nürnberg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1983 |
RTV
6 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1983 |
FCN
3 - 0
EIN
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
ARB
3 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
FCN
0 - 1
LEV
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
KSC
2 - 1
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1983 |
BYM
0 - 1
S04
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1983 |
BVB
4 - 4
BYM
45%
23%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
BYM
0 - 1
KAI
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
KOL
2 - 0
BYM
50%
22%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
BYM
4 - 0
HER
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |