Nürnberg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
55.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
COT
2 - 1
FCN
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BVB
4 - 1
FCN
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 2
MUN
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
HSV
4 - 0
FCN
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FCN
0 - 0
ARB
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
LEV
3 - 0
MUN
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
HSV
4 - 1
LEV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LEV
3 - 1
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
MON
2 - 2
LEV
34%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
LEV
1 - 3
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |