Nürnberg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
FCN
1 - 3
ROM
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1988 |
FCN
1 - 4
HSV
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1988 |
STU
4 - 0
FCN
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
FCN
1 - 3
KSC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
BEL
1 - 0
LEV
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
LEV
2 - 2
KFC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1988 |
LEV
2 - 2
STP
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
SVS
1 - 3
LEV
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
LEV
0 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |