Nürnberg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
KSC
2 - 1
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1983 |
FCN
3 - 1
F95
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
BRE
3 - 2
FCN
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
FCN
0 - 0
EBT
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1983 |
KOL
5 - 2
FCN
74%
15%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
LEV
3 - 1
S04
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
KOL
4 - 1
LEV
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1983 |
BVB
3 - 3
LEV
78%
14%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
LEV
0 - 0
KAI
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
RTV
3 - 2
LEV
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |