Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Nürnberg vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
FCN
4 - 0
BAY
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FCN
3 - 2
BYM
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
FCN
6 - 0
B19
78%
12%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1963 |
B19
0 - 1
FCN
43%
20%
38%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
VFR
1 - 0
FCN
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
1 - 1
ELC
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATM
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ATM
4 - 2
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
RMA
4 - 3
ATM
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1963 |
ATM
4 - 0
BOT
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |