Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCN
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1995 |
FCN
2 - 1
ROS
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1995 |
FCN
0 - 2
CZJ
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
UNT
0 - 0
FCN
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
FCN
0 - 0
WOL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 0
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
ARB
2 - 1
HSV
26%
24%
51%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
MEP
2 - 2
ARB
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
ARB
4 - 0
ZWI
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
LOK
0 - 0
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |